WTH, if that's true you should be getting one by wendsday for sure. I'm no parcel expert but I did work in a UPS plant for about a year. If you are in NYC and that thing shipped on the 12th you should definitely be seeing that thing before the 19th. Unless all this shipping stuff that we are seeing is just a preliminary shipping procedure where they then just hold the thing at a closer outlet and wait for 1.5 days before they ship again. I don't know. What I do know is that I be going insane if I start to see a bunch of threads titled "got mine!" before the 19th and I haven't "got mine" yet.
I live in NYC and my experience with UPS is less than happy. Expect your iPhone to show up sometime before the end of the year!