Makes no difference what MS does at this point, an they've done nothing compelling. If it's isn't anything earth-shattering it'll just be more flotsam and jetsam in Apple and Google's wake.
The thing that really gets me about this statement is that it just
has to be a zero-sum game for you, doesn't it?
Protip: The leading smartphone OS in the world, right now, is Symbian by a hefty margin, followed by RIM. So if we apply your all-or-nothing zero-sum rules, Apple is flotsam and jetsam in Symbian and RIM's wake, right?
Google are a pimple on the arse of worldwide smartphone share. Yes, they're selling a bunch of Android phones right now in the US, but the telling statistic (and one used by Gruber at more or less every opportunity) is that US marketshare =/= The Be All And End All. In fact, it looks very much like a lot of what we're seeing with Android is pent-up demand for proper smartphones finally being answered by CDMA carriers, more than any significant trend. That says absolutely nothing about the ability for Microsoft to succeed in this device marketplace, and even less - if that's possible - about your ability to analyse the situation.
Right now, there's a bunch of mobile operating systems that are jockeying for good position. Nobody has won, and nobody has necessarily lost. Nokia still haven't played their hand, WebOS is still percolating in the belly of HP and Microsoft only presented their attempt today.
Making any snap judgements is an exercise in utter stupidity. You're engaging in blind, pathetic fanboy overdrive and have absolutely nothing to back it up beyond your own sad devotion to a billionaire corporation that does not, and will never, give two ***** about what you think.