There will be no iphone on Verizon until 2012. The exclusive contract was revealed in a court case. Since then there has been "rumors" the contract was reworked. That rumor has usually accompanied rumors of Verizon iphone that turn out to be false.
So until there is actual evidence the contract has been reworked we can only say 2012 at the earliest.
And after 2012, the real issue seems to be contractual agreements between the two companies rather than technological issues.
In any event, given the track record of these rumors, I can say with confidence that there will be no Verizon iphone for several years. Certainly I have more confidence in that statement than the WSJ or NYT have in there repetitive claims.
There will be no verizon iphone in 2011.
I tend to agree with this assessment and that is the reason why I went with Android at this time instead of waiting. I'm not sure what will happen, but as I always say I will believe it when I see it and not a day before.