You do realize your 2nd paragraph contradicts your first, right? 170 million units shipped is 1/3 of the total. 170 / (170+343) = 1/3. It would seem that Blu-Ray's share of the physical media market has not been stuck in the teens, by your own words, and at 1/3 market share it is a force to be reckoned with, not something that is "dying" in any way.
And I'm sure a lot of people here would be happy if Apple had market share either stuck in the teens or at 1/3.![]()
170 million BDs shipped in all of 2010.
343 million DVDs shipped in Q4 2010 alone.
We're stuck with DVD, at 480p, and Blu-Ray, with 1080p. There is no 720p-native format.
If you are talking strictly physical media, you are probably correct. However, a lot of people watch OTH television, streamed films, HD cable, and purchase digital films in 720p. In fact, a large percentage of people watch HD TVs thinking they are getting HD when they are actually watching SD.
Quite an interesting straw man you have there, to have it both ways, since the movie studios would have to be pushing for a format that had no way to play since nobody makes 4K televisions and the highest-resolution consumer displays are 2560x1600.
On one side you say most people have 720, on the other side you are pining for 4K.
I am having hard time understanding your argument here. I was simply agreeing with another poster that, like me, is frustrated by the path the movie studios and electronic manufacturers chose to pursue; a point of view, I might add, that seems to gel with a very large segment of the population. I'm not seeing anywhere near the level of exuberance displayed as when DVDs came out.
The fact that a large segment is going with 720p TVs over 1080p TVs means they do not feel compelled to invest in the televisions necessary to get the full benefit of 1080p. If you read through the thread, you'll find some people here believe anything that is not 1080p, 24fps, and with the bitrate provided by BD is a so inferior as to not warrant discussion. Many of those same people argue that the high infiltration of HD TVs indicated Blu-Ray is taking off. I'm simply pointing out that half of HD TVs are 720p. I am not telling people to run out and buy a 720p TV.
As for current 720p TV sales (given as an example of future trends) and my own predilection for a higher fidelity format if we are going to stick with physical media (given as my hope for the future), I'm not sure how together they can be construed as a straw man argument.
Believe it or not, there have been 4K televisions released (LINK) and more likely on the way soon (LINK and LINK and LINK). Pioneer has a receiver out supporting 4K, and I believe every TV manufacturer had 4K TVs on display at their booths at CES this year. 4K TVs are even winning awards at trade shows. Let me beat you to the punch and say that, unless you get a really tiny one, they're going to be very expensive for the next few years. Hopefully, by that time, the studios will have decided if they want to release movies in 4K.
The point I was making about 4K was that, if we're to be encumbered with physical media while books, music, and the rest of the world is gravitating to digital, mobile, and on demand, at least make it a great deal more sharp than what Blu-Ray is offering and much, much, much better than I can rent on Vudu (ie HDX). Not that Google and *cough* others *cough* are not already working on figuring out how to stream 4K resolution.
Cheers.