I am fully on board with your reading of the tea leaves. I just can not see Apple releasing the new M3 Processor line with a web-only evening event - it makes no sense to me. When has Apple ever done an evening product release - answer: NEVER. Keep in mind, that Apple is the king of consumer product marketing and if this is how they roll out the new M3 line then someone needs to be fired.M2 iMac refresh, Apple TV 4k 4th gen with either the A17Pro or A17 variation to take advantage of the AAA game title ports on the big screen in the Apple Ecosystem, iPad mini refresh with A17Pro/A17 variant for the AAA game titles.
i can see a mention of switching over keyboards/mice/etc over to USB-C but honestly would be better for just a press release or a silent release.
Scary Fast refers to Resident Evil games being ported over and people are reading to much into the finder face just a fun gimmick to play into Halloween.
This is just my 2 cents.
Edit: Resident Evil is expected to be released on Oct 30, 2023 which is the same day as this event.
These claims about lower Mac sales and that's why they need to announce the new CPU is garbage, all PC sales are down so it's the market, not just Apple. Furthermore, another argument being made is they need M3 to counter the Qualcomm announcement of a mobile CPU that beats the M2 line. This is also garbage since this Qualcomm CPU is not shipping until summer 2024 (ROFL since we will be talking about M3 Extreme and M4's by then) and the last time Qualcomm released CPU performance specs they were shown to be wildly optimistic - i.e. exaggerations.
I expect Apple will be updating the 24" iMac to the M2, hopefully with an M2Pro option and also switching to full USB-C. This is Apple's last chance to update the 24" iMac with an M2 since 2024 will be the year of the M3's. I would love for them to also introduce a new 27" iMac with an M2Pro and M2Max which would be extremely exciting and desired.