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What size screen MacBook Pro (2021) did you order?


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Those won't work for this though, with the exception of of the 26th. As you mentioned, the 19th is out. And more than that, the media frenzy about Google's latest offering will take up more of the news cycle that week, so Apple will be fighting that to cannibalize the cycle. That's not Apple's flow.

The entire week would be out for that as well, because Apple's flow is to have an event on a Tuesday and release the actual product that Friday, if it isn't released that actual day. Cases in point: the latest iPhone, and Apple Watch. The exception I can think of is in 2011, with Apple releasing the mid-2011 MBA. That was a Wednesday, and was available that day. And seeing that 20th and 21st would be within the week that Google just announced, Apple won't do that.

The 26th is still in play, but if Apple has their quarterly earnings call on the 28th, they'll be cannibalizing their own news cycle to get a product out. They won't want to do that either.

So we are looking at November, regardless. With some local municipalities in the US having elections this year, that puts November 2nd out, as that is Election Day. They could potentially do it then, but with how political Apple is and stresses the need to get out to vote, they wouldn't want to disrupt that.

So you're now at November 9th for having an event, especially if they keep to their flow of having an event on a Tuesday and a launch of that product on a Friday. That would work, especially if it gives them further time to finish off the bugs being reported from the beta tests of Monterrey.

Now.. follow me on this.

Looking at the trends of the last 3 releases of MacOS (Big Sur, Catalina, Mojave), each one has had 10 Beta releases, and 2 Gold Master/Release Candidates. Beta 9 and Beta 10 of each of those were released within 4-7 days of each other, and all in the first week of October. Only Big Sur is the exception, when the last public beta was released on October 14th.

The release candidates tell a different story, where the final release candidate for Big Sur came out on November 10th, which coincided with the event they had for the Macs, also on November 10th.

The point here: Not only are we still in public beta, but we haven't even reached the Release Candidate/Gold Master stage for an event to even be scheduled. And seeing that the last public beta for Big Sur went from October 16th to the release almost a month later, there is no way we are going to have an event in the next 2 weeks.

We're looking at November 9th at the earliest.

BL.

Is Google relevant in the smartphone space with their phone offerings anymore? They have fallen so far off any marketshare charts that I've seen lately.
 
Is Google relevant in the smartphone space with their phone offerings anymore? They have fallen so far off any marketshare charts that I've seen lately.

Good question. Though, I'm thinking Apple's thinking on this is less about the product and more about controlling the narrative in the media for the week. Apple would be more inclined to let them have their glory for that time and concentrate on what they can do after.

And seeing that the hiccup at this point in time is software, if their trend stands of 10 betas and 2 release candidates, they are still on target to meet that by the time they hit the week of Google's event. I'd still say that they are a good month away from releasing Monterrey, which puts them being the same amount of time away from installing it on the first batch of new Macs, which would be when they would have an event.

BL.
 
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Good question. Though, I'm thinking Apple's thinking on this is less about the product and more about controlling the narrative in the media for the week. Apple would be more inclined to let them have their glory for that time and concentrate on what they can do after.

And seeing that the hiccup at this point in time is software, if their trend stands of 10 betas and 2 release candidates, they are still on target to meet that by the time they hit the week of Google's event. I'd still say that they are a good month away from releasing Monterrey, which puts them being the same amount of time away from installing it on the first batch of new Macs, which would be when they would have an event.

BL.

Google Pixel has been a yawn to me for since about 2012.

Monterrey does have problems though. I am running Beta 8 and have random CPU loops. I have Beta 9 up but I haven't played around with it. I think that they're still missing Universal Control.

BTW, if Apple shipped M1X MacBook Pros with Monterey still in Beta, you can bet I'd buy one. Or two. I'm typing on a 2015 MacBook Pro. I'm feeling really chilly right now and the 2015 is doing a nice job of keeping my legs and wrists warm. It's not fun during the summer though. BTW, it's warm without really running much of anything.
 
If there's no ProMotion and mini LED this year I will skip and wait for the M2X generation. Outside of Apple Silicon I really need the screen to get a major upgrade, those are my two primary reasons to upgrade and I need both to really commit to buying a new MacBook Pro especially considering I don't like the latest macOS updates for the past few years.

Until then, I'm gonna use an M1 MacBook Air for whenever I need to visit offices and present stuff because the battery life is a lot better than my MBP. All my actual work gets done at home with my MBP plugged into a couple screens and some accessories (HDD, mouse, keyboard, thunderbolt hub, etc.). On the go OOO stuff is mostly presenting and writing docs so the MBA M1 will do for now.
 
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Google Pixel has been a yawn to me for since about 2012.

Monterrey does have problems though. I am running Beta 8 and have random CPU loops. I have Beta 9 up but I haven't played around with it. I think that they're still missing Universal Control.

BTW, if Apple shipped M1X MacBook Pros with Monterey still in Beta, you can bet I'd buy one. Or two. I'm typing on a 2015 MacBook Pro. I'm feeling really chilly right now and the 2015 is doing a nice job of keeping my legs and wrists warm. It's not fun during the summer though. BTW, it's warm without really running much of anything.

Oh, I would as well. I mean I'm surprised is that my mid-2011 MBA is still going, and not having a single bit of service needing to be done on it. However, I do hear the fan kicking on a lot now, and like yours, it's getting warm. I'm wondering if I'm starting to suffer from what happened to my wife's 2008 15" MBP, where the battery expanded so much that it caused the chassis to expand, especially around the trackpad.

I should be able to get another month out of this without any major problems, but right now Time Machine is my best friend.

BL.
 
Certainly is interesting that the rest of those documents were never leaked and there wasn’t a peep about legal action or their identities being revealed… I would LOVE to know what played out behind the scenes with that one.
Yeah I can’t find anything about it. I bet it was a war behind the scenes.
 
I'd still say that they are a good month away from releasing Monterrey, which puts them being the same amount of time away from installing it on the first batch of new Macs, which would be when they would have an event.

BL.
You seem to be implying that with all the MacBook Pros being built at this very moment, that they would be holding the boxes open to install the MacOS at a later date (when Monterey is releasable). Logistically this seems to be massively difficult and time consuming. I find it hard to believe that, but rather think that they would be now loading Big Sur and telling the several million new MBP M1X owners to immediately upgrade to Monterrey when it becomes available.
 
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You seem to be implying that with all the MacBook Pros being built at this very moment, that they would be holding them 'open' to install the MacOS at a later date (when Monterey is releasable). Logistically this seems to be massively, logistically difficult and time consuming. I find it hard to believe that, but rather think that they would be now loading Big Sur and telling the several million new MBP M1X owners to immediately upgrade to Monterrey when it becomes available.

This is exactly what I am saying. After all, they did that for all M1 Macs last year:


while there were no Intel Macs that came with the first release of Big Sur. They instead got 11.0.1:


There is no initial 11.0 version for Intel-based Macs, it jumped directly to this version instead, even though the beta testing phase began with that version number, However, 11.0 (build 20A2411) was pre-installed on ARM-based Macs. Apple advises users with this version to update to 11.0.1.[1]

Again, with any new hardware that would need support, Apple would either have to go straight Monterrey on that new hardware, or spend the time to backport the support into Big Sur, which would be even more costly than waiting.

BL.
 
Again, with any new hardware that would need support, Apple would either have to go straight Monterrey on that new hardware, or spend the time to backport the support into Big Sur, which would be even more costly than waiting.

BL.
Very interesting bradl, thanks - I didn't know this. With this information it would seem logical/realistic for Apple to do the same this year - *now* be loading a Monterrey beta into the newest MBPs and have buyers upgrade to the released version. I really could not see Apple warehousing hundreds of thousands partially completed MBPs, to go back just weeks later to install the OS and then box it up for delivery. As an aside, I wonder just how long it would take to install an OS per computer, and if they were to do that, would they be testing each unit to ensure all works well (quality control)?
 
Those won't work for this though, with the exception of of the 26th. As you mentioned, the 19th is out. And more than that, the media frenzy about Google's latest offering will take up more of the news cycle that week, so Apple will be fighting that to cannibalize the cycle. That's not Apple's flow.

The entire week would be out for that as well, because Apple's flow is to have an event on a Tuesday and release the actual product that Friday, if it isn't released that actual day. Cases in point: the latest iPhone, and Apple Watch. The exception I can think of is in 2011, with Apple releasing the mid-2011 MBA. That was a Wednesday, and was available that day. And seeing that 20th and 21st would be within the week that Google just announced, Apple won't do that.

The 26th is still in play, but if Apple has their quarterly earnings call on the 28th, they'll be cannibalizing their own news cycle to get a product out. They won't want to do that either.
I was thinking about that - how even the day after Google’s event and even into Thursday there will still be a lot of coverage and articles and opinions trickling into the headlines and eating up the news cycle and coverage. A tricky situation for Apple if they did initially want to launch the MBPs that week.

As far as the Friday launches, I think that’s more of a product-with-pre-order thing. When’s the last time (if ever) we got a Friday morning pre-order on a Mac with it shipping out the following Friday? (Edit: I just remembered this year’s iMacs had a Friday pre-order. Hmm) That schedule is usually reserved for the mobile products - iPhone / iPad / Watch. All three of the M1 Macs from last November’s keynote were available to order immediately after the keynote.

I also don’t know about writing off the whole week of the earnings call. As one counter-example in 2018 Apple had an event on October 30 and then announced their Q4 earnings two days later on November 1. That’s a different type of news cycle. The bigger problem with the 26th is that it would lend itself to invites on the 19th…. Which might get lost in the Pixel Mix.
So we are looking at November, regardless. With some local municipalities in the US having elections this year, that puts November 2nd out, as that is Election Day. They could potentially do it then, but with how political Apple is and stresses the need to get out to vote, they wouldn't want to disrupt that.

So you're now at November 9th for having an event, especially if they keep to their flow of having an event on a Tuesday and a launch of that product on a Friday. That would work, especially if it gives them further time to finish off the bugs being reported from the beta tests of Monterrey.
Eh, I would not be so sure. There are plenty of valid dates in October that dance around the rest of the mess of everything else going on. There’s a lot of smoke right now, and 16” MBPs are completely sold out in Apple Stores. I‘m not too inclined to believe they’re going to sit another full month with no 16” product on the shelves. That’s a lot of lost sales. I’m really expecting something in the next few weeks.
Now.. follow me on this.

Looking at the trends of the last 3 releases of MacOS (Big Sur, Catalina, Mojave), each one has had 10 Beta releases, and 2 Gold Master/Release Candidates. Beta 9 and Beta 10 of each of those were released within 4-7 days of each other, and all in the first week of October. Only Big Sur is the exception, when the last public beta was released on October 14th.

The release candidates tell a different story, where the final release candidate for Big Sur came out on November 10th, which coincided with the event they had for the Macs, also on November 10th.

The point here: Not only are we still in public beta, but we haven't even reached the Release Candidate/Gold Master stage for an event to even be scheduled. And seeing that the last public beta for Big Sur went from October 16th to the release almost a month later, there is no way we are going to have an event in the next 2 weeks.

We're looking at November 9th at the earliest.

BL.
I don’t get your point here… If Big Sur demonstrated that they can release the RC on the same day as the announcement event then that could easily occur in another 9 days or so. There doesn’t have to be a tenth non-RC beta, and there don’t have to be two RCs either. Not all of these software builds are going to follow the same development cycle, it’ll all depend on their relative stability.
 

“MacBook Pros 14-Inch and 16-Inch Pre-orders, Orders and Delivery Status Thread Only (2021)”​


If we’re now thinking of November as the announcement date then (OP Tuesday Oct 5th Thread starter)……..Was that kind of premature to even post this when we are not even close to the Pre order ? Should have been titled differently.
Many reports are reporting event will be in October. Gurman himself also confirmed it. No one has the real answer. Everyone is speculating at this point. You can view post #1 and MacRumors also reported the event may be in October.

Highly suggesting you to review this article please. Posted by MacRumors 1 day ago.

 
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With the current 16” shipping times already out 1-2 weeks and being unobtanium in stores, I do not believe that there will be another month before the event. Apple will find a way to put out invites next week… I hope.
I hope we get our event invites next week! Praying 🙏
 
I don’t get your point here… If Big Sur demonstrated that they can release the RC on the same day as the announcement event then that could easily occur in another 9 days or so. There doesn’t have to be a tenth non-RC beta, and there don’t have to be two RCs either. Not all of these software builds are going to follow the same development cycle, it’ll all depend on their relative stability.

What I am saying is that if the trend holds true, then we can roughly guestimate not only around when there could be an event to launch the new models, but also around when Monterrey could get dropped as well. There is also the aspect of trying to hit the same day as they did last year (give/take a couple of days) to give the 1-year warning of being the last Intel Macs to be sold..

I'll admit that the 1-year warning is a weak argument, but could be one they are also considering..

BL.
 
Very interesting bradl, thanks - I didn't know this. With this information it would seem logical/realistic for Apple to do the same this year - *now* be loading a Monterrey beta into the newest MBPs and have buyers upgrade to the released version. I really could not see Apple warehousing hundreds of thousands partially completed MBPs, to go back just weeks later to install the OS and then box it up for delivery. As an aside, I wonder just how long it would take to install an OS per computer, and if they were to do that, would they be testing each unit to ensure all works well (quality control)?

Oh no.. Apple - let alone any other company - would never load a beta version of hardware that will be sold to the masses to have them upgrade themselves. This would even run the risk of not even working properly to get the upgrade, leading to lawsuits from every lawyer on the planet. That would lead Apple to recall everything and handle the install themselves, at their cost... which would be more expensive than installing it on all of the Macs themselves before being sold.

They won't rush hardware out - despite user demand for it - without accompanying stable software... and hearing how Monterrey is going right now, it isn't stable enough for mass consumption.

BL.
 
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Couldn’t they just ship with Big Sur?

See post #208. Any new hardware that would require Monterrey would not have support in Big Sur, unless they try to backport that support into Big Sur. That would require a lot more time than they have right now to get ported into Big Sur, especially since they are a couple of weeks away from a Release Candidate.

BL.
 
Many reports are reporting event will be in October. Gurman himself also confirmed it. No one has the real answer. Everyone is speculating at this point. You can view post #1 and MacRumors also reported the event may be in October.

Highly suggesting you to review this article please. Posted by MacRumors 1 day ago.

However, I never go by leakers, Or the rumor mill crowd. When Apple announces the event, then I would post a pre-order section. And that is how I would do it. Never jumped the gun on rumors. 😉
 
Many reports are reporting event will be in October. Gurman himself also confirmed it.
Well, technically, no he didn't. This is Gurman's exact quote from October 2:

Mark Gurman said:
The Apple M1X chip, the likely name for a more graphics-intense and professional-focused M1 chip, is indeed still on tap for 2021. We'll likely see it show up first in a new range of MacBook Pros in the next month and a higher-end Mac mini at some point. The M1X has been developed in two variations: both with 10 CPU cores (eight high-performance and two high-efficiency) and either 16 or 32 graphics cores.
That means it could be anywhere from about October 19 to November 2, and that's assuming he's actually correct.

BTW, that statement doesn't seem to bode well for the updated the M1X Mac mini this calendar year, but that's what I'm personally interested in, even though I don't need it since the 16 GB M1 Mac mini is more than powerful enough for my needs for a secondary machine. The main drawback of the M1 Mac mini is the relatively few ports. Plus it's due for a case design upgrade.

In contrast, the M1X MacBook Pro is likely going to be a much more compelling upgrade vs. the existing M1 MacBook Pro, even for people who don't need the power of M1X. The rumoured MagSafe alone is compelling enough, not to mention the other ports like HDMI and SD slot.
 
but it's the timing between now and competitor's events, earnings calls, etc., that are the conflict
and will probably lead to a November event.
Anybody remember 2016 and the introduction of the crappy new 15“ MacBook Pro?
Same thing happened then…
 
and will probably lead to a November event.
Anybody remember 2016 and the introduction of the crappy new 15“ MacBook Pro?
Same thing happened then…
I doubt it. This thing is going to be announced this month — by the 28th. It may not ship until the 1st week of Nov.
 
Oh no.. Apple - let alone any other company - would never load a beta version of hardware that will be sold to the masses to have them upgrade themselves. This would even run the risk of not even working properly to get the upgrade, leading to lawsuits from every lawyer on the planet. That would lead Apple to recall everything and handle the install themselves, at their cost... which would be more expensive than installing it on all of the Macs themselves before being sold.

They won't rush hardware out - despite user demand for it - without accompanying stable software... and hearing how Monterrey is going right now, it isn't stable enough for mass consumption.

BL.
Apple and stable software, right. That’s wishful thinking.
 
Just curious, why? Why not High Sierra? It's just as stable, has better features, and has better support too (unless you're running some old legacy software).

Mid-2011 13" MBA. High Sierra was never stable for me. Locked up spontaneously without any way to recover. That was from both an in-place upgrade and a barebones vanilla install. It wouldn't even stay stable enough for me to do a TM restore, so I'm stuck on Sierra.

BL.
 
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